The US annual inflation rate is predicted to remain at 3.4% in May, while the core inflation rate is expected to soften from 3.6% to 3.5%. These numbers are crucial as they can influence investor expectations of a September Fed rate cut. A more hawkish Fed rate path could lead to increased borrowing costs and
Income
Poland is facing significant challenges in its fiscal policy, as highlighted by a senior International Monetary Fund official. The European Commission has projected that Poland’s budget deficit will rise to 5.4% of gross domestic product this year, which is among the highest in the European Union. This is primarily due to the government’s increased expenditure
Following the recent US Job Report, there are expectations of a pickup in hiring which could potentially support wage growth. This increase in wages may lead to higher trends in disposable income, ultimately fueling consumer spending and demand-driven inflation. The net effect of this could result in a higher-for-longer Fed rate path to raise borrowing
The recent US Jobs Report has had a significant impact on the USD/JPY exchange rate, pushing it closer to the 157 level. With the US CPI Report on the horizon, investors are closely watching for potential shifts in the value of the Japanese Yen. The increase in average hourly earnings by 4.1% year-on-year in May
Recently, Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino expressed worries regarding the Yen and its impact on economic activity. He stated that exchange-rate fluctuations can affect various aspects of the economy, including inflation. This raises concerns about the stability of the USD/JPY pair in the current market environment. In addition to the concerns raised by
An unexpected increase in initial jobless claims has the potential to influence investor sentiments regarding a September Fed rate cut. This spike could signal weaker labor market conditions, impacting wage growth, disposable income, and consumer confidence. As a result, consumers may reduce spending, leading to a decrease in demand-driven inflationary pressures. A downturn in consumer
As Americans navigate through their financial lives, many are aware of the inflation adjustments that are made to various thresholds each year. These adjustments play a crucial role in allowing households to keep up with the rising cost of living. For instance, Social Security benefits, federal income tax brackets, and contribution limits to 401(k) plans
The recent downside correction in USD/JPY from the 157.70 zone is a cause for concern. While there is a major bullish trend line forming with support at 156.00 on the 4-hour chart, the pair started a downside correction and traded below 157.20. The move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move raises
Economists are predicting a 2.8% increase year-on-year in the Core PCE Price Index for April, with personal income and spending expected to rise by 0.3%. While personal income saw a 0.5% increase in March and spending was up by 0.8%, a higher Fed rate path could lead to a rise in borrowing costs and a
The US economy saw a significant slowdown in growth during Q1 2024, with an expansion rate of only 1.3% compared to 3.4% in the previous quarter. In addition, initial jobless claims are expected to rise slightly from 215k to 218k by the end of May. These numbers indicate a potential shift in economic momentum, which
The outlook for British home prices is a topic of much discussion among housing market specialists. According to a recent poll conducted by Reuters, experts anticipate a modest rise in home prices this year. The projected 1.8% increase for 2024 is expected to outpace overall inflation, indicating a positive trend in the housing market. This
In recent years, there has been a noticeable shift in the preferences of Chinese travelers, with many opting for domestic destinations over international tourist spots. This change in behavior is reflected in a survey conducted by consulting firm Oliver Wyman, which found that only 14% of high-income households in mainland China, earning at least 30,000
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