Donald Trump, the former president of the United States, has recently expressed a desire to have more influence over the decisions made by the Federal Reserve. Specifically, he believes that the president should be consulted on interest rate decisions and that proposals for Fed banking regulations should be subject to White House review. This marks
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In light of renewed concerns about a potential U.S. recession, experts are shining a light on the vulnerabilities of the current unemployment system. The system, which is crucial for providing temporary income support to laid-off workers, proved to be inadequate during the Covid-19 pandemic. The system’s shortcomings, including massive technology failures and administrative inefficiencies, were
The dollar experienced a retreat from a one-week high against other major currencies on Friday, following a period of economic turbulence and uncertainty. Traders were faced with a drop in U.S. jobless claims and the prospect of a looming economic downturn, which led to a series of fluctuations in the currency market. The U.S. currency
The GBP/USD pair has been on the rise, with traders anticipating a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve in September. This surge in the pair can be attributed to the increased expectations of a quarter-basis point interest rate reduction by the Fed. The CME FedWatch tool is reflecting full pricing of the rate cut
When analyzing the relationship between interest rates and exchange rates, it becomes evident that there is a significant impact that can be seen. Cathie Wood, the Founder, CEO, and CIO of ARK Invest, recently highlighted how Treasury yields play a crucial role in determining the value of the USD/JPY. Wood’s commentary on the metal-to-gold ratio
Upon reviewing the statements made by Jeffrey Schmid from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, it is evident that there is a strong emphasis on the potential impact of low inflation on monetary policy. Schmid indicates that if inflation continues to come in low, it will be appropriate to make adjustments to the policy.
The recent release of a summary of opinions by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has caused a stir in the market, with accompanying bearish comments from BoJ policymakers. The BoJ projects reaching the inflation target by the second half of 2025, setting an intriguing scenario for market participants and potentially positioning the Yen strongly next
Higher interest rates on the yen are traditionally seen as bullish for the yen and bearish for the USD/YEN pair. However, the conventional wisdom was thrown into question after the first rate hike when the pair actually rallied. This contradictory outcome suggests that the effects of rate hikes on currency pairs may not always follow
In the world of financial markets, volatility is both a friend and a foe. The recent surge of volatility that has blindsided traders is a stark reminder of the inherent risks involved in trades that thrive in a low volatility environment. The illusion of stability in these trades tends to unravel quickly when volatility spikes,
The recent comments made by the Bank of Japan’s deputy governor had a significant impact on the USDJPY pair, causing it to jump more than 2%. The statement that the central bank will not raise interest rates when markets are unstable brought buyers back into Japanese markets and helped USDJPY to extend its rebound from
The Bank of Japan’s deputy governor, Shinichi Uchida, recently made comments suggesting that the central bank is unlikely to hike interest rates in times of market turbulence. This stands in contrast to Governor Kazuo Ueda’s more hawkish remarks following a surprise interest rate hike by the BOJ. Uchida emphasized the importance of maintaining current levels
In light of recent weaker-than-expected economic data, Claudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors, suggests that while an emergency rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve may not be necessary, a 50-basis-point cut could be justified. This comes at a time when the Fed is deliberately applying downward pressure on the U.S. economy through
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