The US annual inflation rate is predicted to remain at 3.4% in May, while the core inflation rate is expected to soften from 3.6% to 3.5%. These numbers are crucial as they can influence investor expectations of a September Fed rate cut. A more hawkish Fed rate path could lead to increased borrowing costs and
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Poland is facing significant challenges in its fiscal policy, as highlighted by a senior International Monetary Fund official. The European Commission has projected that Poland’s budget deficit will rise to 5.4% of gross domestic product this year, which is among the highest in the European Union. This is primarily due to the government’s increased expenditure
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GBPUSD recently advanced to its highest level since March 13th, showcasing a strong bullish momentum in the market. However, this rally was short-lived as the pair started to reverse lower, signaling that the uptrend may have become overstretched. The price action was driven by profit-taking activities, leading to a temporary pullback in the exchange rate.
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Following the recent US Job Report, there are expectations of a pickup in hiring which could potentially support wage growth. This increase in wages may lead to higher trends in disposable income, ultimately fueling consumer spending and demand-driven inflation. The net effect of this could result in a higher-for-longer Fed rate path to raise borrowing
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It is often considered unusual for gold prices to be strong alongside equities. Typically, when stock prices rise, it indicates a risk-on environment, while gold demand tends to increase during times when investors seek a safe haven. However, as of late May, front-month Gold futures prices were up 17% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 had
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