Recent economic data releases have sparked investor interest and scrutiny regarding the Federal Reserve’s next monetary policy moves. The S&P Global Flash manufacturing PMI for the U.S. revealed a four-month low of 49.9 in April, signaling sector contraction. This unexpected downturn has raised concerns about the overall health of the economy and its potential impact
Forecasts
The recent movement in gold prices has been relatively stagnant, with minimal fluctuations as traders closely monitor U.S. economic data. The price of gold edged up slightly to $2,325.23 per ounce, but overall market sentiment remains cautious. The focus is on the upcoming GDP and PCE reports, as they have the potential to influence the
The disclaimer on this financial website underscores the importance of performing due diligence before making any financial decisions. It emphasizes the need for individuals to conduct their research, seek advice from competent advisors, and use their discretion when it comes to investments. This is a crucial point to consider, as many individuals may be tempted
The recent climb in U.S. Treasury yields has captured the attention of investors eagerly awaiting crucial economic indicators to gain insights into the economy and the potential trajectory of interest rates. The 10-year yield saw an increase of over two basis points, reaching 4.6414%, while the 2-year yield followed a similar upward trend. Market focus
The recent weakening of the Japanese Yen could lead to a rise in import costs and inflation, which may have implications for household spending and the overall Japanese economy. The upcoming release of inflation data from Tokyo will provide insight into how the weaker Yen is affecting consumer prices, giving the Bank of Japan valuable
China has a significant impact on Australian exports, accounting for one-third of the total exports. This relationship is crucial as it influences job creation and wage growth in Australia. With 20% of the Australian workforce in trade-related jobs, any improvements in trade terms with China could potentially lead to an increase in job opportunities and
As the Research Team continues to monitor various economic indicators such as the 2-year and 10-year UST yields, the US Dollar Index, and energy markets, it is essential to recognize the significance of these metrics in assessing market trends. The upcoming release of the US GDP Advance estimate and the PCE Price Index will provide
As economists forecast, the S&P Global Services PMI is expected to increase slightly from 54.8 to 54.9 in April. This slight uptick in the PMI could potentially shift investor expectations regarding future Fed interest rate cuts in 2024. However, it is crucial for investors to delve deeper into the sub-components of the PMI, such as
As we approach April 19, 2024, investors are eagerly anticipating the quarterly earnings reports of major companies such as Procter & Gamble (PG), American Express (AXP), and Schlumberger (SLB). Procter & Gamble is expected to see a modest earnings increase of 3.65%, showing steady growth. American Express, on the other hand, projects a substantial 23.75%
Following the Bank of Japan’s decision to exit negative interest rates, the USD/JPY exchange rate experienced a significant decline to the 154 handle. This move was largely influenced by the forward guidance provided by the BoJ, which signaled the implementation of accommodative policy measures. While this decision may have bolstered buyer demand for the Japanese
The CME FedWatch Tool has reported a decrease in the probability of a June Fed rate cut from 20.7% to 18.8% on Tuesday, April 16. This shift indicates a change in market sentiment towards the US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. Additionally, the likelihood of a September rate cut has also reduced as the chances of
The forecasts for industrial production and retail sales in China are indicating weaker trends. Economists are expecting retail sales to increase by 4.5% year-on-year in March, following a 5.5% rise in February. Similarly, industrial production is predicted to grow by 5.4% year-on-year in March, after a 7.0% increase in February. These numbers hold significant importance