Forecasts

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There is a growing belief among some economists that quantitative tightening (QT) could potentially lead to a stronger and more sustainable Japanese Yen. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is set to announce cuts to its Japanese Government Bond (JGB) purchases in July, a move that could have significant implications for the currency market. According to
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The ongoing household spending trends in Q2 2024, with a decline of 1.2% in April and 0.3% in May, paint a worrying picture for the economy. Weak consumer spending could potentially signal a reduction in demand-driven inflationary pressures. This could further contribute to a quarterly contraction, creating a challenging macroeconomic environment for rate hikes. The
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The U.S. Treasury yields experienced a slight dip recently, as investors closely monitor the economic outlook in anticipation of key data releases. Of particular interest are the upcoming second-quarter GDP figures and June’s personal consumption expenditures price index, which serves as the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. These reports will provide valuable insights into potential
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The upcoming economic indicators, including the Jibun Bank Services PMI and Tokyo’s core inflation rate, are crucial factors that could influence the Bank of Japan’s policy decisions on July 31. A higher-than-expected PMI in the services sector could potentially signal a recovery and justify a rate hike to strengthen the Japanese Yen. Similarly, an increase
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Recently, Nataxis Asia Pacific Chief Economist Alicia Garcia Herrero expressed disappointment in China’s industrial policies following the Third Plenum. She noted a lack of significant change in direction towards consumption-led growth or market forces. Economists are predicting an increase in the Chicago Fed National Activity Index from 0.18 in May to 0.30 in June. This
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